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New report says Canadian cannabis market contributed $43.5 billion to GDP

Home » New report says Canadian cannabis market contributed $43.5 billion to GDP

A new report revealed that cannabis contributed $43.5 billion to the gross domestic product of Canada since it was legalised in 2018

The report titled, an industry makes its mark, was a collaboration between market advisors Deloitte Canada and the Ontario Cannabis Store. It states that recreational cannabis contributed $43.5 billion to the gross domestic product (GDP) while a further $13.3 billion went to Ontario’s.

It went on to report that $25.2 billion of that contribution comes from labour income and it helped to create 151,000 jobs. For every dollar in revenue or capital expenditures, the industry adds $1.09 to Canada’s GDP. For every million dollars in revenue or capital expenditure, the cannabis sector sustains roughly four jobs in Canada and Ontario.

The industry has generated $15.1 billion in Canadian tax revenue with a further $3 billion for Ontario. Customer’s purchases accounted for $2.9 billion in sales and excise taxes.

Speaking with Cannabis Wealth, the author of the report Rishi Malkani, partner, M&A advisory, and leader of the cannabis practice said: “In the context of Canada, the cannabis industry still lags other controlled-substance sales with only a fraction of alcohol and tobacco sales. However, with the developing maturity of the industry, the potential for further sales increases, new consumers, and the potential for substitution of cannabis for alcohol or prescription medication, there is still significant room for growth.

“In an international context, the Canadian cannabis market isn’t the largest globally and is, in fact, smaller than some US states with legal recreational cannabis (e.g. California). However, it is the most mature federal cannabis market globally. On a sales per adult capita basis, Canada lags other mature US Cannabis markets such as California and Colorado – bringing in $126.95 per Capita in Canada, with ~ $170 and ~$450 per capita in California and Colorado respectively.”

Difficulties in the Canadian industry

The report also commented on diversity within Canada‘s industry while highlighting how not much has changed since it was legalised. It referenced a study from 2020 from the Centre of Drug Policy Evaluation and the University of Toronto that stated radicalised men and women were underrepresented among cannabis company executives and directors.

The findings were based on 700 responses from executives and directors at 222 companies. It discovered that 72 per cent were Caucasian men, 14 were radicalised men and two per cent were racialised women.

The breakdown of the country’s cannabis leadership included 40 per cent South Asian people, 19 per cent who are East Asian, 15 per cent who are Indigenous, 12 per cent Arab and 7 per cent each for those identifying as Hispanic or Black.

Mr Malkani stated that there are a few areas that have created issues in the Canadian market: “Excise taxes are a major pain-point for most cannabis producers. The current model charges a flat rate on flower and non-flower products. While this was manageable in 2018 to 2019 when prices were at a higher level, it has become a contributor to margin compression as prices have come down significantly from their initial levels.

He added: “Currently, Canadian Cannabis Regulations treat THC and CBD products identically, requiring CBD products to be sold in the same channels as more traditional THC cannabis products. This has proved a major hindrance to the growth of CBD products in Canada, which largely appeal to a “Health & Wellness” consumer base who may otherwise be deterred from traditional cannabis dispensaries. The potential for the H&W channel to open up and CBD products to be sold through pharmacies and health stores will be a major growth driver for the Canadian Cannabis Industry in the future.

Consolidation is another issue. The Canadian Cannabis Market was initially fueled by potential for international cannabis exports, rather than the domestic market. Only in the last few years focus has shifted to the domestic market. As such, we have seen a proliferation of cannabis companies in Canada which have ultimately suffered due to the international markets not materializing as anticipated. The industry is currently consolidating to reduce the number of players, with major acquisitions in 2021 including Aphria acquisition of Tilray, HEXO acquisition of Redecan, and Canopy Growth acquisition of Supreme Cannabis.”

Canada: A cannabis plant in a person's hands

The industry is booming since cannabis became legal in Canada in 2018. However, another report shows that it is potentially fragmented with large licensed producers losing market share as a whole.

The Bank of Montreal report from 2021 revealed that the top five licensed producers represented less than 40 per cent of the market in August. This has decreased from 2020 when the producers accounted for half of all retail sales.

The rate of monthly sales decreased despite hopes that lockdown easing would potentially boost sales.

What could a UK market learn from Canada?

As other counties such as the UK watch those with newly created recreational markets, what could be learned from Canada?

Katya Kowalski, head of operations at Volteface commented: “Canada is an excellent case study and means for gathering evidence on cannabis legalisation. The benefits are clear; a legal market better protects consumers, reduces youth access, curbs illicit trade, creates jobs and a new industry. Deloitte’s report highlights the benefits of legalisation, particularly from an economic angle.

Canada’s model has certainly proven successful in some regards, particularly around generating new revenue. Providing consumers with a safer route to access and safer methods of consumption is another major benefit – switching to vapes, tinctures, topicals, edibles and drinks gives the consumer a greater product variety which is healthier than traditional methods of smoking, largely seen within the illicit market.”
 
She added: “The UK should look to Canada as an example of how legalisation can be successfully implemented and the benefits of moving to a regulated market. However, there are also difficulties we can learn from with the challenges of legalisation. What Deloitte’s report fails to mention is the overinflation of the Canadian market when they initially legalised. As the UK looks to legalise, it is important to remain cautiously optimistic and realistic with the results of legalisation. It is also essential the legal market is easier and more appealing than the illicit one.
 
There is a growing consensus that it is no longer a question ‘if’ the UK will legalise but ‘when’. It is for this precise reason that we must have a conversation around what the ideal market looks like. I would say the legalisation discussion is largely separated into three core ideas – public health, social justice and the free market. Advocates often disagree on what the best approach out of the three is. However, I do not think there is a need to choose between social justice, health and market – I think these three ideas can be incorporated and implemented into a holistic, sustainable and effective cannabis market.”
 
Mr Malkani also commented on how he sees the UK benefitting from monitoring the success of the Canadian market.
 
He said: “Given the general unfamiliarity with cannabis, having physical retail locations with knowledgeable “bud-tenders” who can guide customers is a major growth driver. The significant growth seen in Canadian cannabis sales parallels the increase in retail locations, specifically in Ontario over the last two years. Unlike Canada, the UK shouldn’t place an initial heavy reliance on online sales channels and should take a balanced retail approach for the roll-out of cannabis products.
 
The UK should take measures to ensure cannabis producers aren’t too restricted in the use of specific genetics and have the ability to build a strong genetics vault allowing for a wide variety of products with high THC / CBD concentrations. A major contributor to the inventory build-up and initially lower sales in the legal market in Canada is the low product variety in terms of genetics/strains and low to mid cannabinoid concentrations in products.”
 
He added: ” The Canadian industry underestimated the resilience of the illicit cannabis market and its ability to compete on price and quality. Only after several years are we starting to see the legal market make gains over the illicit in Canada. Cannabis producers in the UK should take heed of this and ensure their approach works toward conversion of the illicit market to legal, rather than a reinforcement of the illicit market.

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